Saturday, 30 May 2009

Another Small Loss

Saturday 30 May


The Form Analyst and Maths were the stars again today, with TFA advising Dansili Dancer at 8/1 (won at 5/1) and Vainglory e/w @ 20/1 - third at 7/1.

His third bet would have collected as well - Bazergan advised e/w at 15/2, but five non-runners reduced the field to seven, and so two places, and of course Bazergan finished third !

Maths had one winner from one selection at 7/2, but everything else advised came nowhere, apart from Salerosa which came 4th for Equine Investments, but the bet was 1pt win, 0.5 pts place at 9/2 and so overall it was a losing bet.

Looking ahead to tomorrow's golf, I'm on Rory McIlroy at 16/1 in the European Open - win only - who is currently tied 3rd, three shots off the lead so a chance of a decent payout if he can shoot a low number tomorrow.




Bets Advised


Equine Investments

Ishe Mac 1pt win @ 14/1 - LOST (SP 12/1)
Salerosa 0.5 pts win / 0.5 pts e/w @ 9/2 - 4TH (SP 11/4)


Tipping Legends

Earlsmedic 1pt win @ 10/1 - LOST (SP 9/1)
Unnefer 1pt win @ 4/1 - LOST (SP 3/1)
Tombi 1pt win @ 5/1 - LOST (SP 13/2)
Dolly Penrose 0.5 pts e/w @ 25/1 - LOST (SP 20/1)
Tariq 1pt win @ 10/3 - LOST (SP 4/1)


The Form Analyst

Bazergan 1 pt e/w @ 15/2 - 3RD (SP 4/1) - 5 non runners, only 2 placed !
Dansili Dancer 1 pt e/w @ 8/1 - WON (SP 5/1)
Vainglory 1 pt e/w @ 20/1 - 3RD (SP 7/1)


Maths - Selection

First Spirit - win at 5/2 - WON (SP 3/1)


Nose Ahead

Seamus Shindig 1pt win @ 12/1 - LOST (SP 8/1)
Flash McGahon 0.5 pts e/w @ 33/1 - LOST (SP 28/1)
Faasel 1pt win @ 25/1 - LOST (SP 20/1)


Making It Pay

Bell Island 2pts win @ 6/1 - LOST (SP 4/1)



Bets Placed

Ishe Mac £100 win @ 14/1..................(100)
Salerosa £100 win / £50 place @ 9/2........(49)
Earlsmedic £100 win @ 9/1 - 10/1..........(100)
Unnefer £100 win @ 4/1....................(100)
Tombi £100 win @ 5/1......................(100)
Dolly Penrose £50 e/w @ 20/1 - 25/1.......(100)
Tariq £100 win @ 10/3 - 7/2...............(100)
Bazergan £50 e/w @ 15/2...................(100)
Dansili Dancer £50 e/w @ 8/1...............500
Vainglory £50 e/w @ 20/1...................150
First Spirit £100 win @ 7/2................350
Seamus Shindig £100 win @ 14/1............(100)
Flash McGahon £50 e/w on betfair..........(100)
Faasel £100 win @ 25/1....................(100)
Bell Island £100 win @ 6/1................(100)

Loss on day £149

2 comments:

DS said...

I follow The Form Guru and TL, plus another service (which has had a very quiet month due to the ground early on).. I suspect your monthly figures will show what a miserable month it has been for me ;-)

That wasn't the point of this though; I think it raises an interesting question about the variance. Whilst it might appear on the surface that by taking on new services you increase the variance (increased amount of bets per day), the fact they are largely on different races/horses might actually mean you're seeing lower variance than those who just follow a couple of services.

JP said...

Hi DS,

An interesting point, but as you will have seen from my figures over the first few months of this year I have had some huge swings.

I think what you mean is that while the daily ups and downs will be greater, the actual length of any losing runs will be shorter (although the losses themselves might be bigger).

As long as you've set yourself up properly to deal with that, and your bank (and temperament) can cope with large scale losses on a daily basis, then a portfolio along the lines of what I have should pay dividends in the long term.

Thanks for your comment, best of luck with your betting, hope June is more profitable for you !