Monday, 27 July 2009

As I was saying !

Monday 27 July

The winning run had to come to an end, and after seven straight days of profit I hit reverse gear today.

Not much action really, and the only successful bet was SLH's lay of Brave Bugsy at Uttoxeter.

Brave Bugsy was advised as a bet by Tipping Legends, but I decided to pass on it as reservations were expressed about the softening ground - and at 5/2 that was enough to put me off. The other TL selection Commanche Luke was weak in the pre-race market, but showed up well for a long way before fading in the home straight.

The Form Analyst had a loser with Gentle Guru, which was very well backed during the day, but weak pre-race which proved correct as the horse was unplaced, doing it's best work near the finish.

Need to book the loss from Luke Donald with today's figures - eventually tied for 24th place.

The most interesting bet I had was one of TFA's horses to watch today - Norcroft in the Southwell 4.45. Now this trading at 55 pre-race so I had £20 at that price with the intention of laying off in-running to get my stake back and then laying again at a low price to secure a profit if it ran well.

Anyone who was around this afternoon will know that Betfair bollocksed things up, and didn't turn the market in play - which was a shame as Norcroft ran very well, was right up there around a furlong and a half out and would surely have traded fairly short had the in-play market been up there. As it was the horse was third at an SP of 33/1.

Glorious Goodwood starts tomorrow and all eyes will be on Tipping Legends and their final special of the year - wish them well and hope they have a cracking week.

Bets Advised

SLH Exchange

Brave Bugsy 1pt lay at max 3.75 - LOST


Three Strings win bet @ min 9/2 - 3RD (SP 5/1)

Tipping Legends

Brave Bugsy 1pt win @ 5/2 - LOST (SP 15/8)
Commanche Luke 0.5 pts e/w @ 20/1 - LOST (SP 25/1)

Tipping Legends Golf (from last week)

Luke Donald 1pt e/w @ 25/1 - TIED 24TH

The Form Analyst

Gentle Guru 1 pt e/w @ 25/1 - LOST (SP 16/1)

Bets Placed

Brave Bugsy £100 lay @ 3.71 (net)...............95
Three Strings £100 win @ 9/2 - 5/1............(100)
Commanche Luke £50 e/w @ 20/1.................(100)
Luke Donald £100 e/w @ 25/1...................(200)
Gentle Guru £100 e/w @ 25/1...................(200)
Personal Bet - Norcroft £20 back @ 55..........(20)

Loss on day £525


Brian Coplin said...

Glorious Goodwood today so I am sure you will be back to winning ways again.

JP said...

seems that way Brian - at least today anyway !

Hope you had a good day too.