Thursday, 20 August 2009

In Deep !

Thursday 20 August


I mentioned yesterday the issue of multiple tips in the same race, where you are effectively betting against yourself, and that situation happened again in the 2.50 at York.

The winner Roaring Forte was given out by TFG, Acrostic finished third for EI, Webbow fourth for TFA extra. I also had the fifth with Scuffle for Nose Ahead (on at 25/1 e/w beaten a nose for fourth), Docofthebay who finished seventh (TFA extra), and I was up to the hilt as it were with Lovelace, given by TL and TFG.

So there you have it, six horses tipped - I backed the winner and had five in the first seven and I lost on the race !

Part of the problem was staking the winner - I only do TFG selections to £25 a point. However I am making an immediate change and increasing these to £50 a point from tomorrow. I was initially wary of how much I was shelling out on TFG tips given the daily volume of bets, but I'm showing a profit of over £3000 since I started following these in May and so I think I can justify upping the stakes now.

TFG had two winners on the day, the other was Littlemisssunshine gambled all the way down to 5/1, and also a 20/1 place - so I shouldn't really be losing four figures when that happens.

One of those days best forgotten really, with TFG providing the only two winners.

Had Catalan Bay and Indian Art both trade odds-on in the same race and get beat, Indian Art going as low as 1.06 but finishing second.

The Form Analyst York special isn't going well, which serves to illustrate why these weaker bets were dropped from the service some time ago, but I'll see out the meeting and hopefully a couple of winners tomorrow will mean it ends up being a profitable exercise.

Anyway, not the best day - hope tomorrow is better !



Bets Advised


SLH A/W

Vilnius - win bet @ 9/1 - LOST (SP 10/1)


SLH Private

Campden Annie 1pt e/w @ 4/1 - LOST (SP 7/2)


Equine Investments

Acrostic 0.75 pts win, 0.75 pts e/w @ 6/1 - 3RD (SP 5/1)
Emirates Roadshow 1.75 pts win @ 6/4 - 2ND (SP Evens)


Tipping Legends

Lovelace 2pts win @ 9/1 - LOST (SP 8/1)
Catalan Bay 2pts win @ 7/1 - 4TH (SP 7/1)
Our Picadilly 1pt win @ 9/1 - LOST (SP 6/1)


Nose Ahead

Scuffle 1pt e/w @ 33/1 - 5TH (SP 20/1)


Chris, Form Guru

Lovelace 2pts win @ 9/1 - LOST (SP 8/1)
Roaring Forte 1 pt e/w @ 10/1 - WON (SP 8/1)
Jargelle 1 pt e/w @ 20/1 - 3RD (SP 16/1)
Indian Art 2pts win @ 8/1 - 2ND (SP 5/1)
Northern Spy 2pts win @ 6/1 - 4TH (SP 9/2)
Wreningham 1pt win @ 10/1 - LOST (SP 11/1)
Littlemisssunshine 1pt win @ 16/1 - WON (SP 5/1)


The Form Analyst, York Special

Alrasm 0.25 pts win @ 14/1 - LOST
Nimue 0.75 pts win @ 12/1 - LOST
Webbow 0.5 pts e/w @ 11/1 - 4TH
Docofthebay 0.5 pts e/w @ 25/1 - LOST
Barshiba 0.25 pts win @ 14/1 - LOST
Princess Taylor 0.75 pts e/w @ 12/1 - LOST
Bahamian Babe 0.5 pts e/w @ 14/1 - LOST



Bets Placed

Vilnius £100 win @ 10/1........................(100)
Campden Annie £100 e/w @ 9/2...................(200)
Acrostic £75 win @ 6/1, £75 e/w @ 5/1-6/1.......(45)
Emirates Roadshow £175 win @ 6/4...............(175)
Lovelace £200 win @ 9/1 - 10.5 BF..............(200)
Catalan Bay £200 win @ 9/1.....................(200)
Our Picadilly £100 win @ 9/1...................(100)
Scuffle £100 e/w @ 25/1........................(200)
Lovelace £50 win @ 9/1..........................(50)
Roaring Forte £25 e/w @ 10/1....................312
Jargelle £25 e/w on BF (net).....................72
Indian Art £50 win @ 8/1........................(50)
Northern Spy £50 win @ 6/1......................(50)
Wreningham £25 win @ 10/1.......................(25)
Littlemisssunshine £25 win @ 14/1...............350
Personal - TFA York special....................(413)

Loss on day £1074

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