Friday, 23 October 2009

TFG leaves it late again

Friday 23 October


Backed two winners today, both of which suffered rule 4's or reduction factors.

As he did yesterday, The Form Guru left it until his final race of the day to find a winner.

Half A Crown (16/1 adv) and Imperial Sword (12/1 adv) were the two selections in the Ayr 5.30.

Couldn't get the price on either horse at lunchtime so had to go to Betfair to get on. Slapper was pulled out at the start, causing a 10p rule 4 from the 16/1 SP - reduction factor on Betfair was 12.5% on the win market and 16.3% on the place.

Two from Tipping Legends today included Crocus Rose, advised each way at 12/1 and won at an SP of 15/2.

Managed to get £75 each way on with the bookies, but had to split the bet three ways. Then there was the rule 4 - Ladbrokes and Totesport both deducted 15p (neither of them show that on their results slips on-line), while Paddy Power only deducted 5p !


Punter Profits had another winner today, but I didn't back Baily Storm at the best available price of 4/7 - the horse won OK, but I'll happily sit out bets at those prices.

Maths had another losing main account bet, Sharaayeen finishing way down the field at Doncaster and this service is having another poor run. Not been a good year at all and the recent changes haven't had the desired effect so far. See what happens in the next few weeks.



Bets Advised


Maths Account Bets

Sharaayeen £50 win @ 11/2 - LOST (SP 6/1)


Chris, The Form Guru

Lowther 1pt e/w @ 20/1 - LOST (SP 17/2)
Deaville Flyer 3pts win @ 9/2 - 3RD (SP 3/1)
Herrera 0.5 pts e/w @ 25/1 - LOST (SP 20/1)
Call It On 1pt e/w @ 11/1 - LOST (SP 14/1)
Puzzlemaster 1pt e/w @ 12/1 - LOST (SP 8/1)
Verinco 1 pt e/w @ 10/1 - LOST (SP 10/1)
Half A Crown 1 pt e/w @ 16/1 - WON (SP 16/1)
Imperial Sword 1pt e/w @ 12/1 - LOST (SP 14/1)


Punter Profits

Baily Storm (system A) - WON 8/15


Tipping Legends

Cool Roxy 2pts win @ 7/2 - LOST (SP 6/1)
Crocus Rose 1.5 pts e/w @ 12/1 - WON (SP 15/2)



Bets Placed

Sharayeen £250 @ 11/2, 6.6..................(250)
Lowther £50 e/w @ 20/1......................(100)
Deauville Flyer £150 win on BF..............(150)
Herrera £25 e/w @ 25/1.......................(50)
Call It On £50 e/w on BF....................(100)
Puzzlemaster £50 e/w @ 12/1.................(100)
Venrico £50 e/w @ 10/1......................(100)
Half A Crown £50 e/w on BF (net).............790 - 12.5% w, 16.3% pl RF's
Imperial Sword £50 e/w on BF................(100)
Cool Roxy £20 win @ 7/2, 80 on BF...........(100)
Crocus Rose £75 e/w @ 12/1...................991 - 5% to 15% R4
Personal Bets................................(50)

Profit on day £681

2 comments:

AJ said...

Hi JP
I have followed Maths for awhile now and his best times are in the flat season, as he is obviously out of form at the moment what will you be doing over the NH Season?

JP said...

Hi AJ,

I'll keep going with him until Christmas, and them I'm going on holiday for 7 weeks. Back in mid-February when I'll be doing this full time.

I'll stop the Maths sub at Christmas and I've not made my mind up whether to continue with him next year.

He needs to get his act together really, because this year has been dismal.