Wednesday, 9 December 2009

Unrelenting Misery

Wednesday 9 December

Well this run will come to an end eventually, but there's no sign of it at the moment.

Another shocking day with only one winner, Mr Strachan, for Isiris and it means I've now had 15 losing days in a row on the horses.

Mr Strachan won at the advised price of 4/1 having got the better of Huka Lodge in a close finish at Hexham with the pair well clear. A busy day for Isiris but that was the only winner.

An each way account bet on Cast Of Stars at 5/2 finished second to the enterprisingly ridden Red Courtier - mine never being given a chance and the final margin of 6 lengths was as close as it got. She's Humble advised at 10/1, drifted to 12/1 and finished unplaced.

The final bet was a typical Isiris special - in other words, a bet you could not possibly get on ! A three point each way double on King Ozzy (against 2/5 fav) and Birch Hill Bedouin (against 1/3 fav). Ladbrokes, William Hill and Totesport allowed me £20 each way between them, Corals wouldn't lay me a penny and I can't get more thatn buttons on with anyone else so that was as far as I got. As it was the bet went down with Birch Hill Bedouin unplaced - it would have gone down in the first had the favourite not fallen at the last with the race at his mercy !

Desperate luck for The Form Guru today as 8/1 tip Runshan made a bold bid to make just about all the running, only to be collared right on the post by 40/1 shot Bubble Boy. The judge took fully five minutes before he called the result - but given the current run I'm having it was obvious the way it would go, the winning margin was a nose - Runshan having traded at 1.03.

An hour later it was the same story as Fruity O'Rooney (advised at 12/1) set out to make all, jumped brilliantly only to make a mistake at the last, and then couldn't withstand the late run of Shadow Dancer under McCoy to go down by half a length in the shadows of the post.

Punter Profits and SLH's all weather line are on desperate runs and both added another loser to the growing list.

PPNH system gave out Deep Reflection (as did SLH on his Exchange line, as well as Power Shared) in the same race as Fruity O'Rooney, which made the narrow defeat of that one all the harder to take.

Had to wait until the last race of the night for the latest all weather loser with Royal Society never sighted.

A winner for Maths with Mickmacmagoole, one of his mentions today - a few of these have been winning lately, which is all the more annoying given the poor performance of his account bets this year.

Both the Equine Investments mentions were turned over, and a desperate attempt by me to try and make something happen failed dismally when I combined the Pricewise Extra horse (whose price I had missed and so didn't back) and one of EI's mentions into a £50 reverse forecast - Hurakan (PWE) finished fourth and Green Wadi was last !

Bets Advised

SLH Exhchange

3.10 Leicester
Deep Reflection 1pt back @ min 4.0
Power Shared 1pt back @ min 6.5


Royal Society win bet @ 5/2 - LOST (SP 4/1)

Chris, The Form Guru

Gypsy George 1pt e/w @ 10/1 - LOST (SP 6/1)
Runshan 1pt e/w @ 8/1 - 2ND (SP 6/1)
Fruity O'Rooney 1pt e/w @ 12/1 - 2ND (SP 9/1)
Patchoulie Contie 1pt win @ 8/1 - LOST (SP 8/1)
Polobury 1pt e/w @ 20/1 - LOST (SP 16/1)

Punter Profits

Deep Reflection (system D) - LOST (SP 7/2)


Mr Strachan 2pts e/w @ 4/1 - WON (SP 4/1)
She's Humble 2pts e/w @ 10/1 - LOST (SP 12/1)
King Ozzy / Birch Hill Bedouin 3pts e/w double @ 9/2, 6/1 (3RD 4/1 / LOST 17/2)
Cast Of Stars 4pts e/w @ 5/2 - 11/4 - 2ND (SP 13/8)

Bets Placed

Deep Reflection £100 win @ 3/1......................(100)
Power Shared £100 win @ 6/1.........................(100)
Royal Society £100 win @ 5/2........................(100)
Gypsy George £25 e/w @ 10/1, £25 e/w on BF..........(100)
Runshan £50 e/w @ 8/1.................................30
Fruity O'Rooney £50 e/w on BF (net)...................73
Patchoulie Contie £50 win @ 15/2.....................(50)
Polobury £50 e/w @ 16/1.............................(100)
Deep Reflection £200 win @ 3/1......................(200)
Mr Strachan £100 e/w @ 7/2 (BOG).....................480
She's Humble £25 e/w @ 10/1, £75 e/w BF.............(200)
King Ozzy / Birch Hill Bedouin £20 e/w dbl...........(40)
Cast Of Stars £72 e/w @ 11/4, £128 e/w @ 9/4........(103)
Personal Bets - Maths / EI mentions / £50 r/f........(70)

Loss on day £580


JP said...


Reference your latest comment, can you send another (which I won't publish) with an e-mail address where I might contact you.


Stephen Maher said...

Chin up JP, it'll turn around ;) Just remember its the overall thing and not the 15 losing days in a row that count, I'm sure if you had 15 winning says in a row you probably wouldnt even be counting them..

Just out of interest while I'm here, did you ever get a tip and think to yourself "jaysus that has no fooking chance!" DO you run through the form before you back the selections?

dazz said...

can you tell me the new racing sevice that you are looking at for next year can you give me the names of them best of luck for next year jp

JP said...

Hi Stephen,

I'm sure it will mate, just feeling the pressure a bit just now though !

Just do as I'm told as regards the selections at the moment, though I do look twice at some of them - with this way of doing things, I think you either do it as instructed or not at all.

I have tried variations to the staking, especially in the early part of the year, but would have been better off following the advised stakes really.

Saying all that though, I do have it in mind to make some changes next year. Need a bit of time to clear my head though after this run !

Cracking blog by the way, a really entertaining read. I'll link you up on here.

Keep up the good work

All the best


Hi Dazz,

Not got any clear thoughts on which way I will go yet mate. I'll do a post before I go away to draw a line under this year and outline my thoughts on the way ahead.

Probably do that within the next week or so.